Waterbowl - Lustria Playoff Predictions
WEEK 10 TABLE
| # | Coach | Team | Race | TV | Pld | W | D | L | TD | Cas | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | cjblackburn | Max Deadroom | Undead | 1470k | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 26 |
| 2 | douglowe | I, Eldarius | Wood Elf | 1560k | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 3 | TheGngrNoob | Detroit Pox City | Nurgle | 1240k | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | 20 |
| 4 | Ringbeard | Guardians of Ghrond | Dark Elf | 1500k | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 19 |
| 5 | Isvan | The Weather Veins | Vampire | 1490k | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -4 | -7 | 19 |
| 6 | The Martian | Lil Green Meanies | Orc | 1520k | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Tintenfisch | I like big bulls and I cannot lie | Chaos Dwarf | 1370k | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Jimbob | Kracked Toof | Orc | 1500k | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 8 | 17 |
| 9 | EndoSpartan | The Dapper Lycanthropes | Necromantic | 1510k | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | Adam boo | The Bone Idles | Khemri | 1280k | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 3 | 16 |
| 11 | Chebby | Clipstone Coalminers | Dwarf | 1130k | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Queek | Baltimore Skavens | Skaven | 1280k | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -5 | -7 | 13 |
This is the league table going in to Week 10. The lone game of this week being my 2-1 win over Lil Green Meanies. A win which currently has the record for biggest underdog win in the league (TV 1520 vs TV1250).
But even with this win, could I make the playoffs?
Let's try and find out, making predictions based on league positions, race matchups and tiers.
Week 10 Fixtures (Positions in brackets)
Guardians of Ghrond (4) - (5) Weather Veins
In this game I can see the Guardians winning. Although 5 Strength 4 Vampires could really hurt the Dark Elves, should they be able to catch them.
Prediction: Guardians Win
Max Deadroom (1) - (8) Kracked Toof
I cannot see Max Deadroom losing a game this week, CJ being a wizard with the team.
Prediction: Deadroom Win
I, Eldarius (2) - (11) Clipstone Coalminers
The nippy Wood Elves should pick up a win here. The Dwarfs hopes relying on a 2-1 grind
Prediction: I, Eldarius Win
Baltimore Skavens (12) - (9) Dapper Lycanthropes
After winning their first game last week, I predict an unfortunate return to form this week for the Skavens.
Prediction: Dapper Lycanthropes Win
Bone Idles (10) - (7) Big Bulls
This has draw written all over it. The Khemri defence seems solid against a slow/mid paced team. Although stranger things have happened.
Prediction Draw
Projected League Table -End of Week 10
| # | Name | Points |
| 1 | Max Deadroom | 29 |
| 2 | I, Eldarius | 25 |
| 3 | Guardians of Ghrond | 22 |
| 4 | Big Bulls | 20 |
| 5 | Detroit Pox City | 20 |
| 6 | The Weather Veins | 20 |
| 7 | The Dapper Lycanthropes | 19 |
| 8 | Lil Green Meanies | 18 |
| 9 | Kracked Toof | 18 |
As per my predictions, Max Deadroom would be crowned as division champions, with I, Eldarius as the runner up.
At the bottom, The Bone Idles, Clipstone Coalminers and Baltimore Skavens would be mathematically out of the running
Week 11 Fixtures (Predicted positions in brackets)
Weather Veins (6) - (9) Kracked Toof
Although the Vampires are higher in the division, Orcs are tough against any team. Especially a team that likes to hit. I call a draw
Prediction: Draw
I, Eldarius (2) - (1) Max Deadroom
In the battle of first and second, I think the Undead will finish undefeated and with a win
Prediction: Max Deadroom Win
Big Bulls (4) - (12) Baltimore Skavens
Heaping the misery on the Baltimore Skavens, with one eye on the Playoffs I see I Like Big Bulls And I Cannot Lie winning this
Prediction: Big Bulls Win
Detroit Pox City (5) - (11) Clipstone Coalminers
It'd be wrong without me predicting a win for myself now, wouldn't it?
Prediction: Detroit Pox City Win
Bone Idles (10) - (3) Guardians of Ghrond
The skill gap between the teams will be telling in this match. Ringbeard's experience should swing this game in his favour
Prediction: Guardians Win
Dapper Lycanthropes (7) - (8) Green Meanies
This will be a very close game. Orcs edge this for me.
Prediction: Lil Green Meanies win
Projected Final League Table
| # | Name | Points |
| 1 | Max Deadroom | 32 |
| 2 | I, Eldarius | 26 |
| 3 | Guardians of Ghrond | 25 |
| 4 | Big Bulls | 23 |
Well according to my optimistic predictions, I would not finish in the Top 4 on TD difference. This isn't surprising considering my usual win is by 1 TD and losses of 2 or 3.
The four predicted Lustria playoff representatives are strong teams, with CJ being one of the favourites for the overall championship
Now it is time to see how it plays out in real life!
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